Everything you need to know about Vegas Edge Fantasy Rankings and how it works.
What is Vegas Edge?
Vegas Edge Fantasy Rankings is a fantasy football projection tool powered by real sportsbook odds. Instead of relying on traditional consensus projections, we convert player prop lines and betting markets from major sportsbooks into fantasy point projections — giving you the most current and accurate projections based on the same algorithms Vegas uses to set their lines.
Other fantasy sites rely on analyst opinions. We use sportsbook odds — built by algorithms that process every relevant variable to produce the most accurate predictive model in sports — and convert them directly into fantasy projections based on your league's scoring settings.
Yes — Pre-Draft is completely free, no account required. It includes season-long sportsbook-implied rankings, a player comparison tool, and a printable cheat sheet. In-Season is a paid subscription and includes weekly rankings, Start/Sit, the Lineup Optimizer, Matchup Comparison, player odds breakdowns, Fantasy Stock, game logs, and more.
How It Works
Projections are built using an Expected Value formula applied to player prop odds from major sportsbooks. For each stat, we factor in the posted line, the market's implied probability for each side after removing the house's margin, and the typical statistical variance for that stat type in an NFL game. The result is a true expected value for each stat category, which we then convert into fantasy points using your league's scoring settings.
We currently pull odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Bovada, BetOnline.ag, and BetRivers. You can view projections from any individual book or use Average (All Books) mode which combines all available lines for the most accurate projection.
When Average (All Books) is selected, we calculate a projection independently for each sportsbook that has odds posted, then average those projections together. This gives you the most balanced and comprehensive projection rather than relying on any single book.
Odds are updated multiple times daily during the NFL season — more frequently Thursday through Sunday as games approach. Early in the week odds may be limited. Check back closer to kickoff for the most complete projections.
The warning icon means a player is missing one or more relevant prop markets from the selected sportsbook. When Average (All Books) is selected, the icon only appears if the player is missing a prop across all books. For individual books, it appears if that specific book hasn't posted the prop yet. Check back closer to kickoff as books typically post more props as the game approaches.
The Tools
The Lineup Optimizer lets you load your saved fantasy team and automatically generates the highest-scoring possible starting lineup based on current sportsbook projections. You can swap bench players in and out, then optionally move to the Matchup Comparison to see how your optimized lineup stacks up against your opponent.
The Matchup Comparison is Step 2 of the Lineup Optimizer. After optimizing your lineup, click "Compare Against Your Opponent" to build out your opponent's roster and get a head-to-head projected score and win probability for your fantasy matchup.
The Start/Sit tool lets you compare any players head-to-head with full projected stat breakdowns and prop lines from every major sportsbook. Add players from your saved teams, watched players list, or search any player manually.
Fantasy Stock is a per-player chart available in the player detail modal that shows how their sportsbook-implied projection has trended week over week throughout the season. As the season progresses you can also toggle on actual points scored to compare projections against real performance.
VORS stands for Value Over Replacement Starter. It measures how much more a player is projected to score per week compared to the baseline replacement player at their position. A higher VORS means the player provides more value relative to what you could freely pick up.
We support PPR, Half-PPR, Standard, and fully Custom scoring. Custom mode lets you set your own values for every scoring category including passing yards, touchdowns, receptions, and more.
The Data
Sportsbooks typically post props 2-4 days before kickoff. When a player is missing odds for specific stats, we supplement with adjusted consensus projections for those individual stats only — any stats with odds available are still driven entirely by sportsbook data. A warning icon appears when one or more props are missing. Check back closer to kickoff for the most complete projection.
Sportsbook lines move constantly as new information becomes available — injury reports, weather, depth chart changes, and betting volume all influence the lines. We recommend checking back Thursday and again Sunday morning for the most accurate projections.
Each sportsbook sets their own lines independently based on their own models and the money coming in on each side. Our Average (All Books) mode smooths these differences out for the most balanced projection.
Yes — indirectly. Sportsbooks are very fast to adjust lines when injury news breaks. If a player is questionable or limited, their prop lines will reflect that almost immediately, which flows through into our projections.
Pricing & Billing
In-Season is available as a Monthly subscription at $3.99/month or a Full Season pass (September–January) at $14.99 — saving 37% compared to paying monthly.
Yes — cancel anytime and you'll retain access through the end of your current billing period.
The Full Season pass covers September through January — the entire NFL regular season and playoffs.
Yes, completely free. No account required, no credit card, no catch.
Pre-Draft tools are free year-round and give you a great sense of how our projections work. Check the Pricing page for any current In-Season trial offers.
Account & Teams
Once logged in, go to My Account → My Teams and create a team. You can add your full roster including starters and bench players, set your platform (ESPN, Yahoo, Sleeper, etc.) and scoring settings. Your saved team will then be available across all In-Season tools.
You can save up to 5 teams — enough to cover multiple fantasy leagues.
Watched Players lets you track players you don't own but want to monitor — waiver wire targets, trade candidates, or players you're keeping an eye on. Star any player from within any tool to add them to your list. You can watch up to 50 players.
Yes — in the Lineup Optimizer and Start/Sit tool you can load your saved team directly. The Lineup Optimizer will automatically generate your optimal starting lineup based on current sportsbook projections and let you swap bench players in and out.
General
Currently NFL only. Fantasy football is our core focus.
Possibly in the future. NBA and MLB are natural candidates given the depth of prop markets in those sports. Follow our Discord for updates.
Join our Discord community — it's the fastest way to reach us and share feedback. We actively monitor it and take feature suggestions seriously.